Politics as usual

By MICHAEL GERSON   Tuesday, Jan. 15, 2013
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— Here is my nomination for the lowest moment of the “fiscal cliff” debate. Right before Christmas, President Obama met with Speaker John Boehner in the Oval Office. “He told Mr. Boehner,” according to The Wall Street Journal, “that if the sides didn’t reach agreement, he would use his inaugural address and his State of the Union speech to tell the country Republicans were at fault.”

Forget Thomas Jefferson’s First Inaugural: “We are all Republicans, we are all Federalists.” Forget Abraham Lincoln’s Second: “With malice toward none.” Obama’s Second Inaugural might drop a few choice one-liners on the elected Republicans gathered behind him on the West Front of the Capitol. Maybe he could have a struggling middle-class family hold the Bible as he takes the oath. Maybe Joe Biden could lead the crowd in a little chant: “Hey! Hey! The wealthy need to pay!”

It is bad enough that an American president should threaten to deploy his inaugural address in a vicious budget debate. It is worse that the threat seemed credible and unexceptional. Usually a presidential election involves a reset of American politics, with both sides (at least temporarily) forced to engage in the rhetoric and rituals of healing and unity. The 2012 election was not even a short pause in our swift partisan descent.

In cliff negotiations, Obama had one overriding goal: to make Republicans vote for rate increases on the wealthy. For 20 years the refusal to raise taxes has been one of the core issues that held together the disparate groups of the GOP. If Obama saw his job as bringing together a broad coalition to fix the long-term debt problem, he would have maneuvered Democrats to take on some of their core issues as part of a package, just as Republicans had to do. But Obama did not view his job this way. He wanted Republicans to swallow their humiliation pure.

Congressional Republicans are left with less influence than some apparently think. The debt ceiling is a form of leverage they can’t responsibly use. A partial government shutdown or full implementation of the sequester are less toxic alternatives, but of questionable utility. (Threatening liberals with the prospect of huge defense cuts—a part of the sequester—is an attempt to menace them with their deepest desire.)

Given this weak Republican position, Obama must be tempted by a shiny political object: the destruction of the congressional GOP. He knows that Republicans are forced by the momentum of their ideology to take positions on spending that he can easily demagogue. He is in a good position to humiliate them again—to expose their internal divisions and unpopular policy views. It may even be a chance to discredit and then overturn the House Republican majority, finally reversing his own humiliation in the 2010 midterms.

This has left him with one economic approach: Raise taxes as much as possible, shift the burden to those he doesn’t care about, and do as little as possible to slow spending growth, buying time until he can raise taxes again.

Some conservatives are convinced that this is the full emergence of Obama’s democratic socialism. This explanation is not required. Obama probably still views himself as a pragmatist. He may comfort himself that he will take incremental action on Medicare in due time.

But at this moment three factors overlap: his liberal policy instincts, a political opportunity to break his opponents, and the massively inflated self-confidence produced by re-election. So, force the GOP to surrender on the debt limit, with nothing in return. Require Republicans to accept new taxes in exchange for any real spending reductions. If they agree, their caucus is fractured (again). And if they refuse (which they are likely to do), paint them as obstructionists and extremists who are willing to destroy the economy/the nation’s credit rating/the military for their own ideological purposes.

There is one main downside of this approach. It delays any serious action on long-term debt for at least another two (and probably four) years. It is the path of a government that moves from fiscal crisis to crisis, gradually undermining global confidence that it can manage its own affairs. An economy in which uncertainty, slow growth and high employment become norms. A federal budget increasingly devoted to entitlements at the expense of other purposes, including defense—eventually undercutting our international influence in the same way that Europe has become depleted, insular and toothless.

Obama’s short-term political calculations are understandable. It is the cost to posterity that is unreasonable.

Michael Gerson is a columnist for the Washington Post Writers Group; email michaelgerson@washpost.com.

reader COMMENTS
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(74)
MBHammer
Jan 17, 2013 at 11:43 a.m.
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I was listening to Rush and a woman caller asked Rush and was wondering where are all of the children's letters written to Obama where the kids are writing Obama and asking why their fathers don't have jobs? Good point.

thatwaseasy
Jan 17, 2013 at 6:42 a.m.
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"we all bundle"

Brilliant !!
Submissive Stepford Democrats

thatwaseasy
Jan 17, 2013 at 6:38 a.m.
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A self-reliant, self-sufficient individual is a Democrat’s worst nightmare

thatwaseasy
Jan 17, 2013 at 6:37 a.m.
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OneDayatatime, every truth I've posted of Republicans vs. Democrats show how the Democrats steretype, box groups, use a crisis, and exploit.

I'm asking you to prove the statements false. Your only response to me is criticism. What a validation of everything I just listed.

You can't stand opposition to your opinion and you don't offer statement of your own that I'm wrong.
You have merely adding to my truth.
Thank you!

donnaw
Jan 17, 2013 at 6 a.m.
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fordfan..no these cuts won't close the whole gap but its a start. Also should means test for Medicare, with a sliding scale, in addition to having work projects for welfare and unemployment.

fordfan
Jan 16, 2013 at 8:58 p.m.
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donnaw - I like most of your thoughts for cuts. Will the cuts you mentioned solve the deficit problem? How much will be left if it does not close the gap completely?

Midnight_Ride
Jan 16, 2013 at 2:59 p.m.
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Completely true one day - can you debate it?

Liberals remind me of the Stepford wives...

"we all bundle"

thatwaseasy
Jan 16, 2013 at 9:40 a.m.
A self-reliant, self-sufficient individual is a Democrat’s worst nightmare

Spot ON! Individual being the key word there.

onedayatatime
Jan 16, 2013 at 12:38 p.m.
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@ thatwaseasy...stereotype much?
Pretty wide paint brush for such a narrow mind

TCB
Jan 16, 2013 at 12:22 p.m.
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Well done Thatwaseasy!

Bowlgal
Jan 16, 2013 at 11:36 a.m.
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Wasn't it Obama as Senator say "Raising America's debt ceiling is a sign of leadership failure"

The other day Obama said "Not raising the debt ceiling would be aburd and irresponsible"

So many on the left called Romney a "flip-flopper" during the campaign.

What NOW do you call Obama?

MBHammer
Jan 16, 2013 at 11:24 a.m.
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Chick-fil-a acknowledged a repugnant lifestyle in America that they don't believe in and I commend them. In truth it was Dan Cathy's personal view and not being said corporately but the news media spun it out of control as usual.

thatwaseasy
Jan 16, 2013 at 11:14 a.m.
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If you’re a Republican who doesn’t use a lot of salt or drink slurpies, you just don’t use them.
If you’re a Democrat you ban them from restaurants and shrink the serving size.

If you’re a Republican who doesn’t agree with a business (Dick’s Sporting Goods) for stopping the sale of guns, you just stop shopping there. It is their right as a business.

If you’re a Democrat who doesn’t agree with a business (Chick-fil-a) for excising their 1st amendment rights you boycott and vandalize them for not agreeing with your ideology.

I really could do this all day but I am not being challenged as the truth lives.

thatwaseasy
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:50 a.m.
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And that's why Libs don't want you to prove you are one vote one person. Did we really get the government of the people? Low approval ratings before and after election is a clear indication someone or something isn't on the up and up.

TCB
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:46 a.m.
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Obama can and will continue to blame Bush, Boehner and those evil repiublicans that stand in his way. 3 equal separate branches of govt is something this "constitutional attorney" does not understand.

We all get the govt we vote for. It is politics.

thatwaseasy
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:44 a.m.
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WOW, no one ever said Bush was Conservative. But let's see, 4 tril for Bush in 8 years which according to the libs contained 2 wars that received Democrat support in Congress.
vs.
6-1/2 trill for Obama in 4 years which includes kick backs to unions, billions in fails green energy, work out of welfare and skyrocket poverty in America....mmmmmmm

MBHammer
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:41 a.m.
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dustyd, I like what Adrian Rogers said, "What's this wing stuff?, I just know right from wrong".

pharm
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:34 a.m.
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At last! An admission that Bush was not a conservative saint! Maybe you can convince some of your cohorts on these posts that Obama is not the only reason that the debt is as high as you say. Now, if you can also convince them that calling for spending cuts, without saying exactly where those cuts should come from, attention Republicans, is hypocritical, maybe we will get someplace on taming that debt.

thatwaseasy
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:34 a.m.
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Tell us all what isn't true in what I posted.

thatwaseasy
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:33 a.m.
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Lame for a liberal because it's true. No other answer offered is lame.

dustyd
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:18 a.m.
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thatwaseasy: It certainly is easy to copy and paste cutesy right-wing chain mail onto this blog. How lame.

thatwaseasy
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:16 a.m.
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In 2006 according to Obama, Bush was an irresponsible failure for raising the debt ceiling. Republican.

Today Obama Democrat calls it responsible.

If your house fills up with crap from a backed up toilet, do you clean out the waste or raise the roof of your house?
Democrats

Eagle1
Jan 16, 2013 at 10:06 a.m.
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If he isn't willing to balance the budget like Clinton than it really doesn't matter when $.40 of every dollar goes to maintain the debt. Bush = Obama.

http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials...

Eagle1
Jan 16, 2013 at 10 a.m.
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pharm, how many of the 16.4 trillion reasons do I need to point out for you to give it up that Obama is no better than Bush?

MBHammer
Jan 16, 2013 at 9:54 a.m.
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thatwaseasy, Also if you disagree with democrats they say you hate, if democrats disagree they say they are loving.

thatwaseasy
Jan 16, 2013 at 9:40 a.m.
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A self-reliant, self-sufficient individual is a Democrat’s worst nightmare

thatwaseasy
Jan 16, 2013 at 9:39 a.m.
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If a Republican doesn't like guns, he doesn't buy one.
If a Democrat doesn't like guns, he wants all guns outlawed.

If a Republican is a vegetarian, he doesn't eat meat.
If a Democrat is a vegetarian, he wants all meat products banned for everyone.

If a Republican is homosexual, he quietly leads his life.
If a Democrat is homosexual, he demands legislated respect.

If a Republican is down-and-out, he thinks about how to better his situation.
A Democrat wonders who is going to take care of him.

If a Republican doesn't like a talk show host, he switches channels.
Democrats demand that those they don't like be shut down.

If a Republican is a non-believer, he doesn't go to church.
A Democrat non-believer wants any mention of God and religion silenced.

If a Republican decides he needs health care, he goes about shopping for it, or may choose a job that provides it.
A Democrat demands that the rest of us pay for his.

pharm
Jan 16, 2013 at 9:29 a.m.
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"The real domestic savings in Bowles-Simpson came from building on Obamacare’s steps to save money by holding down the growth of health-care costs and to cut defense spending by pretty steep levels. But these turned out to be ideas that alienated rather than satisfied Republicans. So basically it turned out to be impossible to find real spending cuts that Republicans wanted.

It’s true that Paul Ryan’s budget plan had some deep cuts. But none of those cuts touched Medicare for the next decade or Social Security at all. Ryan just kicked the crap out of the poor. So, that provision aside, if you’re not willing to inflict epic levels of suffering on the very poor, there just aren’t a lot of cuts to be had out there."
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/201...
Ask Obama for specific cuts, yet they are afraid to propose them.

dustyd
Jan 16, 2013 at 8:40 a.m.
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donnaw: Spending bills orginate in the House of Representatives. The Republican-controlled House can put forward and pass bills doing exactly what you are suggesting. They can offer specific cuts to Medicare and Social Security in their budget plan. Why don't the Republicans just do it (a rhetorical question)? Because Americans like and depend on these programs, and Republicans don't want ot take the blame for cutting them. It's a lot easier to just say "Obama bad."

donnaw
Jan 16, 2013 at 5:30 a.m.
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fordfan....you mean to tell me Obama can't find any other areas to cut spending? Come on...how about those raises for congress and federal workers he signed into law. How about cutting some from foreign aid? Do we really need to support t all these other countries, even the ones that hate us? How about raising the age for social security one or two years gradually? How about raising the cap on wages for soc sec deductions a little bit? How about all that pork that increases everything? How about all the poverty programs that are being abused and the overlap? How about the military? They are already talking about cutbacks there cause they know it can't keep going like it is. Obama doesn't know how to say no to any socialistic program...it's what he wants. We should be in extreme efficiency mode in our govt but Obama flying back and forth on expensive vacations to Hawaii doesn't much set the stage for that kind of thinking. Don't tell me there aren't efficiencies in every single govt program. The Education building in DC takes up an entire city block...any Turing back there? How about just cutting back on projected INCREASES in spending?

pharm
Jan 15, 2013 at 6:34 p.m.
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Eagle, spit through your nose all you want, by the end of fiscal 2013 the deficit will have been cut 33% since 2009. Failure to realize this makes you one of your uninformed partisans.

fordfan
Jan 15, 2013 at 5:40 p.m.
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donnaw - you should like that, as the ultimate position of the Republican Tea Party is to stiff the elderly and anyone else that needs government assistance or that the Republicans can steal from. They just want to force Obama to be the one to say/do it and he is saying "do it yourself". Of course the Republicans, being the cowards that they are, they are afraid to publically state their yearnings and goals. If more revenue is off the table, where are you going to get the money to close the deficit gap so you can feel free to increase the debt limit? You are afraid to say and you will not say.

donnaw
Jan 15, 2013 at 5:08 p.m.
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Obama continues to scare the seniors and vets with threatening to stop their check to get his way. Oh no, we can't cut spending. What about all the other entitlement programs and the checks to congress and other countries? So we stiff the seniors and vets but keep checks going to foreign countries? Come on Obama grow up!

donnaw
Jan 15, 2013 at 5:05 p.m.
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Eagle1...where are those candidates?

fordfan
Jan 15, 2013 at 4:47 p.m.
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Eagle1 - Where did I say that I am a Democrat or that you were a Republican? Now, I see little difference in your positions from some of the Republican neo-cons out here but I never said you were a Republican did I? I know you try to pass yourself off as being for neither party...but then how would anyone know?

(916wi – please let me know if you see any spelling errors or incorrect grammar usage.)

Eagle1
Jan 15, 2013 at 4:25 p.m.
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fordfan oh and thanks to you too for being a dem that sees only what they want in my posts and labeling me as a republican, brilliant.

Eagle1
Jan 15, 2013 at 4:23 p.m.
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fordfan, why would I become a part of something that I think is the root of most of the problems this country faces? Not very logical is it? Plus my past is not exactly squeaky clean so I am sure that wouldn't become an issue at all. I am just waiting for candidates that put country before party, as long as enough blind partisans continue to support them I guess I will be waiting a long long time.

fordfan
Jan 15, 2013 at 4:22 p.m.
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These truthers can be one of your running mates!

http://news.msn.com/us/sandy-hook-%e2%80...

fordfan
Jan 15, 2013 at 4:20 p.m.
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Why are we not seeing 916wi, Eagle1 and some of these other genius types running for some level of public office? Surely they would be elected with their great ideas, high intellect, superior abilities in grammar and punctuation and overall great personalities that will lead to taking Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security away from the elderly so the elderly will have the opportunity to start being more productive citizens (like joining the military, perhaps?). It is a no lose election for them all!

(916wi – please let me know if you see any spelling errors or incorrect grammar usage. It is like getting a free education from such a bright person as you!)

fordfan
Jan 15, 2013 at 4:08 p.m.
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sorrry 916 I willtry to due beter

Eagle1
Jan 15, 2013 at 4:07 p.m.
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poobah, the fact you can't figure out my political ideology shows you are too blind to see it when it is so obvious.

Eagle1
Jan 15, 2013 at 4:06 p.m.
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poobah, I don't care if they do or not I am pointing out the failures of people like you and and your blind partisan support, I realize that might be a bit too difficult to wrap your head around but it's a basic concept, I was once like you but then I had so much evidence sitting in front of me it was unavoidable, open your eyes it's very liberating. And btw thanks for proving my point! :)

dustyd
Jan 15, 2013 at 4:01 p.m.
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donnaw: correct..the Democrats voted against Obama's budget. I believe the votes in both the House and Senate were unanimous, but that its has more to do with procedure than substance. My point is that the President does submit a budget every year, and Congress votes it down because they want to do it themselves (but don't).

poobah
Jan 15, 2013 at 3:59 p.m.
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Eagle1, do you really think anyone cares what your political ideology, if anything, is? Get over yourself.

Eagle1
Jan 15, 2013 at 3:51 p.m.
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I predict the partisans will only see what they want to see in my last statement and I will be labelled as a Republican by dems and a Democrat by the GOP lovers. It will be entertaining.

Eagle1
Jan 15, 2013 at 3:50 p.m.
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Lowering the bar I see like true partisans. Good Lord it is really shameless the way people will defend Obama but blast Bush or defend Bush but blast Obama. There isn't much difference between them folks, that's a fact. What was really shameless was when Clinton allowed himself to be pimped out at the DNC last summer and portray Obama as being just like him, nothing could be further from the truth. Clinton was not the government expander either Bush or Obama have been and he was in favor of balancing the budget, because he did it. Clinton’s best asset by far was his ability to be a manager and not rock the boat, he played the middle brilliantly, he talked leftist rhetoric (and sucked in the clueless dems) but always governed as a moderate. He was the first politician that I learned to watch what he does not what he says, that lesson has become very valuable. But just because he has a ‘D’ after his name, he knows there are enough people that don’t pay attention that will buy the partisan spin he played last summer, it looks like it continues to work for the blind. I have to thank pharm for making me spit water out my nose by stating Obama has had huge deficit reduction, I am not sure what type of calculator you are using but I think the amount of money added to the debt would contradict that statement.

pharm
Jan 15, 2013 at 3:37 p.m.
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A trillion dollar deficit out of three and a half trillion dollar budget is not spending twice what is collected, and deficit reduction under Obama has been huge. Trillion dollar deficits were built into the budget before Obama was elected, McCain would have had them also. The article cites what legislation, and the effects of that legislation, that Obama has signed. Spending under Obama is rising less than under either of the Bushs, Ford, Reagan, Nixon.
Better factcheck whoever is telling you these things.

916WI
Jan 15, 2013 at 3:11 p.m.
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Fordfan.......First of all, please work on your spelling and punctuation. Second, it's not a matter of Obama "kissing up to the Republicans", it's a matter of making tough decisions in an effort to get the nation's fiscal house in order. Obama is pandering to an audience with legislation that will make him popular in the short term, while compromising the long term fiscal viability of this country. Can you not understand this?

916WI
Jan 15, 2013 at 3:05 p.m.
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pharm......So we aren't running trillion dollar deficits and our federal government isn't spending twice what it is collecting? I was told that these were facts, please provide evidence to the contrary......

Eagle1
Jan 15, 2013 at 2:54 p.m.
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How can any of you think either party is worth the ballot their names appear on? Neither of them have kept their word on the biggest issues they got elected on. Hello GOP when are you going to cut spending? Hello Democrats when are you going to close Gitmo and pull out of Afghanistan? The increased drone activity says not in the near future. It's a joke that 80% of the population blindly follows one of these two groups of clowns.

pharm
Jan 15, 2013 at 2:53 p.m.
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916, a fact filled article presented to you, and you don`t want to believe it. I understand, you won`t be swayed by facts, just rhetoric. Like the Romney campaign, no facts allowed.

fordfan
Jan 15, 2013 at 2:42 p.m.
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Omama is a Muslim. Obama was born in Kenya. Our number one goal is to make Obama a one term president. If he fails on health care we cna break him - it will be his Waterloo. Oabam does not know what it means to be an American. We will refuse to give the president a single win in the legislature. Let's make fun of the physical appearance of Obama's wife. Obama waon twice with over a 50% majority and the Democrats won more aggregate votes than the Republican's in the House (thank you Gerrymandering)but we will refuse to recognize that the Democrats won.

I don't know why Obama does not kiss up to us after we have been so nice to him.

prounion
Jan 15, 2013 at 2:40 p.m.
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LOL - Obama is doing a great job in spite of the congressional right wing.

916WI
Jan 15, 2013 at 2:39 p.m.
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"That doesn’t mean there is no more work to be done, but it does show we’ve come a long way already."
-------
You seriously have to be delusional! Under the current administration we have run and are projected to continue to run trillion dollar deficits for the entirety of this administration. Instead of cutting spending during the fiscal cliff negotiations, spending programs were actually introduced. The country is spending twice as much as it is bringing in. You response to this is a progressive puff piece that pats the big 0 on the back under the pretense that there is "more work to do"......ya think!
You should be a comedian pharm!

pharm
Jan 15, 2013 at 2:20 p.m.
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"Since the start of fiscal year 2011, President Barack Obama has signed into law approximately $2.4 trillion of deficit reduction for the years 2013 through 2022. Nearly three-quarters of that deficit reduction is in the form of spending cuts, while the remaining one-quarter comes from revenue increases. (see Figure 1) As a result of that deficit reduction, the projected rise in debt levels from today through 2022 has decreased by nearly 10 full percentage points of gross domestic product. In fact, under today’s policies, debt levels in 2022—as a share of GDP—will be only slightly higher than they are expected to be by the end of next year. That doesn’t mean there is no more work to be done, but it does show we’ve come a long way already."
http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/b...

donnaw
Jan 15, 2013 at 2:11 p.m.
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dusty..so his own party didn't like his budget?

Eagle1
Jan 15, 2013 at 1:08 p.m.
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Fire them all.Useless.

dustyd
Jan 15, 2013 at 12:50 p.m.
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donnaw: here's a link where you can download the President's entire 2013 budget. It was rejected by both the House and the Senate.
www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/13/budget...

MBHammer
Jan 15, 2013 at 12:47 p.m.
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No leadership, just misuse of execute orders which mirrors a dictatorship.

onedayatatime
Jan 15, 2013 at 12:41 p.m.
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It's about time Obama gets a backbone. Now that he has and is showing leadership the right doesn't like that either.

poobah
Jan 15, 2013 at 12:09 p.m.
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Conservatives are still whining over Republican Congressional leadership having backed themselves into a corner and caved in to practicality.

donnaw
Jan 15, 2013 at 12:02 p.m.
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dusty...where is Obamas budget? He has been POTUS for FOUR years! He made all kinds of promises...you can keep saying its Bush fault until you are blue in the face. It's time the buck stopped on Obamas desk! He spent his honeymoon capital on cramming the health care bill down our throats. If he had been minding the store (our economic situation) instead of pushing his socialistic agenda, maybe we wouldn't haven't accumulated such high debt during his four years so far. He said, "oh, just vote to raise taxes to avoid the fiscal cliff and then I pass spending cuts." Congress was stupid to believe him. He has no intention of cutting any spending. He is a political slimmy toad. As are most of the other members of this administration and congress. Republicans and democrats.n

dustyd
Jan 15, 2013 at 11:17 a.m.
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FYI: The Energy Department’s loan-guarantee program, enacted in 2005 with bipartisan support, has backed nearly $38 billion in loans for 40 projects around the country. Solyndra represents just 1.3 percent of that portfolio.

dustyd
Jan 15, 2013 at 11:13 a.m.
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The stimulus was voted for by the US Congress, and it worked. The loans or grants to wind and solar companies are an EXTREMELY tiny portion of this problem, and came from a program that began during the Bush administration that was also funded and approved by Congress. The recession began before Obama took office.

whz_bng
Jan 15, 2013 at 10:17 a.m.
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dust... Wow, non of this 16T+ debt is Obama's fault? Failed stimulus, Jobs, Wind and solar $$ squandered by this admin takes the cake.Increase in food stamps and rising poverty is his legacy. Yesterday Obama threatened Social Security and Veterans by claiming they would not be paid if the debt ceiling was not raised. That is the usual threat imposed by this prez to scare old people ect. How about we withhold paying congress, the prez, federal and other cabinet members until they reach a deal instead of threats against the citizens.

dustyd
Jan 15, 2013 at 8:16 a.m.
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Someone needs to make note of the fact that the President can't "write checks" and spend government money. Congress APPROVES ALL GOVERNMENT SPENDING. The entire debt of the United States was voted for by Congress. The current national debt is due to spending they have already approved (i.e. voted for). The vast majority of the increase in federal debt over the past 5 years is attributable to the Bush tax cuts, unfunded wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, a depressed economy (which has greatly reduced income tax revenue), and increases in Medicare costs, which Republican legislators and voters broadly support and have voted for. Republicans, including Paul Ryan, voted for the TARP bank bailout. Furthermore, if the Republican majority in the House doesn't vote for additional government spending, it won't happen. So, the wingnuts in the Republican Party need to stop lying about how Obama is spending us into the poorhouse.

donnaw
Jan 15, 2013 at 6:32 a.m.
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In the paragraph before the last sentence I think he means high unemployment, not employment?

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